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TECHNICAL PAPERS

Integrating QRA and SRA Methods Within a Bayesian Framework When Calculating Risk in Marine Operations: Two Examples

[+] Author and Article Information
Wenche K. Rettedal, Terje Aven, Ove T. Gudmestad

Stavanger University College, Box 2557, Ullandhaug, 4091 Stavanger, Norway

J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng 122(3), 181-187 (Mar 31, 2000) (7 pages) doi:10.1115/1.1287038 History: Received April 03, 1999; Revised March 31, 2000
Copyright © 2000 by ASME
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References

Aven,  T., and Pörn,  K., 1998, “Expressing and Interpreting the Results of Quantitative Risk Analyses. Review and Discussion,” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Safety, 61, pp. 3–10.
Martz, H. F., and Waller, R., 1982, Bayesian Reliability Analysis, Wiley, New York, NY.
Aven,  T., and Rettedal,  W., 1998, “Bayesian Frameworks for integrating QRA and SRA Methods,” Structural Safety, 20, pp. 155–165.
Rettedal, W., 1997., “Quantitative Risk Analysis and Structural Reliability Analysis in Construction and Marine Operations of Offshore Structures,” PhD thesis, Sept., Stavanger UC and Aalborg University.
Proban, 1996, Sesam User’s Manuals, Det Norske Veritas Sesam as.
Watson,  S. R., 1994, “The Meaning of Probability in Probabilistic Safety Analysis,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 45, pp. 261–269.

Figures

Grahic Jump Location
Fault tree, navigation failure
Grahic Jump Location
Density distribution of the probability of navigation failure, P(NF)

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