Risk Assessment of Decommissioning Options Using Bayesian Networks

Michael Havbro Faber; Inger B. Kroon; Eva Kragh; David Bayly; Patrick Decosemaeker

doi:10.1115/1.1491974

Journal of Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering | Volume 124 | Issue 4 | TECHNICAL PAPERS

< Previous Article Next Article >

TECHNICAL PAPERS

Risk Assessment of Decommissioning Options Using Bayesian Networks

Michael Havbro Faber, Inger B. Kroon, Eva Kragh, David Bayly and Patrick Decosemaeker

[+] Author and Article Information

Michael Havbro Faber

Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Institut für Baustatik und Konstruktion, Hönggerberg, HIL E32.3, Zürich, 8093, Switzerlande-mail: faber@ibk.baug.ethz.ch

Inger B. Kroon, Eva Kragh

COWI Consulting Engineers and Planners AS, Offshore Decommissioning Group, Parallelvej 15, DK-2800 Lyngby, Denmark

David Bayly, Patrick Decosemaeker

TOTALFINAELF Exploration Norge AS, Cessation Project Department, Postbox 168, 4001 Stavanger, Norway

J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng 124(4), 231-238 (Oct 22, 2002) (8 pages) doi:10.1115/1.1491974 History: Received July 01, 2001; Revised December 01, 2001; Online October 22, 2002

Article

References

Figures

Tables

Citing Articles

Purchase this Content

$25.00

Purchase

Learn about subscription and purchase options

Your Session has timed out. Please sign back in to continue.

References

Raiffa, H., and Schlaifer, R., 1961, Applied Statistical Decision Theory, Harvard Univ. Press, Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, Mass.

Benjamin, J. R., and Cornell, C. A., 1970, Probability, Statistics and Decision for Civil Engineers, McGraw-Hill, NY.

Ditlevsen, O., and Madsen, H. O., 1996, Structural Reliability Methods, Wiley, Chichester.

Rackwitz, R., 2000, “Optimization-The Basis for Code-Making and Reliability Verification,” Journal of Structural Safety, 22, pp. 27–60.

Nathwani, J. S., Lind, N. C., and Pandey, M. D., 1997, Affordable Safety by Choice: the Life Quality Method, Institute for Risk Research, Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada.

Lindley, D. V., 1976, Introduction to Probability and Statistics from a Bayesian Viewpoint, Cambridge Univ. Press.

Faber, M. H., 1997, “Risk Based Structural Maintenance Planning,” Probabilistic Methods for Structural Design, Kluwer Academic Publishers, the Netherlands.

Jensen, F. V., 1996, An Introduction to Bayesian Networks, UCL Press Limited.

Madsen, H. O., Krenk, S., and Lind, N. C., 1986, Methods of Structural Safety, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

JCSS, 2000, “Basic Notes on Resistance Models,” The Joint Committee on Structural Safety.

JCSS, 2000, “Basic Notes on Load Models,” The Joint Committee on Structural Safety.

Evans, A. W., and Verlander, N. Q., 1997, “What is Wrong with Criterion FN-Lines for Judging the Tolerability of Risk,” Risk Anal, 17(2), pp. 157–168.

Figures

Tables

Errata

Web of Science® Times Cited: 20

Some tools below are only available to our subscribers or users with an online account.

Sections
PDF
Email

You must be logged in as an individual user to share content.

Return to: Risk Assessment of Decommissioning Options Using Bayesian Networks

Copyright in the material you requested is held by the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (unless otherwise noted). This email ability is provided as a courtesy, and by using it you agree that you are requesting the material solely for personal, non-commercial use, and that it is subject to the American Society of Mechanical Engineers' Terms of Use. The information provided in order to email this topic will not be used to send unsolicited email, nor will it be furnished to third parties. Please refer to the American Society of Mechanical Engineers' Privacy Policy for further information.
Share
Get Citation

Havbro Faber M, Kroon IB, Kragh E, Bayly D, Decosemaeker P. Risk Assessment of Decommissioning Options Using Bayesian Networks. ASME. J. Offshore Mech. Arct. Eng. 2002;124(4):231-238. doi:10.1115/1.1491974.

Download citation file:

RIS (Zotero)

EndNote

BibTex

Medlars

ProCite

RefWorks

Reference Manager

© Copyright
Get Alerts

Processing your request... Please Wait.

Risk Assessment of Decommissioning Options Using Bayesian Networks

References

Figures

Principal flow diagram of a risk assessment

Decision tree for prior and posterior decision analysis

Decision tree for pre-posterior decision analysis

BPN modeling retraction, break loose, and ascent for a Condeep type GBS

Computed marginal probabilities of mission failure

Failure and costs diagram

BPN for step 7 given mission failure

Illustration of a BPN

Illustration of the development of the risks of a decommissioning project

Milestone representation of the initiation steps of a decommissioning project

Tables

Errata

Related Content

Journals

Conference Proceedings

eBooks